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Up To Nine Hurricanes Predicted For 2012 Pacific Hurricane Season

With hurricane season 2012 in full swing, the Atlantic basin has so far been quiet, with the exception of two preseason storms; Alberto, which swerved out to sea and presented no danger to the US mainland, and Beryl, which did make landfall and drenched Florida and parts of the southeast with heavier than average rainfall amounts. Recent weeks since the season officially started in June have seen nothing, however that does not mean that the new season will be a sedate or inactive one.

The Pacific has been busier, with three named storms, two of which became hurricanes. The most recent, Carlotta, struck southern Mexico with 90 mph winds. Some storms that strike Mexico may also have an impact through higher than average surf levels in the San Diego area, but that has not occurred so far this year.

In fact, the US Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is expecting that we will see a “near normal” hurricane season this year, with a better than 70 percent chance that we will see between 12 and 18 named storms and 9 full blown hurricanes in the Pacific hurricane zone. An average season in the Pacific usually means 15 named storms and 8 full blown hurricanes.

Forecasts such as this one are based mainly on computer models and weather history, which is usually a pretty accurate model when it comes to speculation on future events. Other conditions, such as increased wind shear and the redevelopment of El Nino later in the season, combined with warm waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean may all serve to increase the possible hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific area.

If there is good news, it is that sea surface temps are not normally warm enough to allow a major hurricane to travel up and adversely affect the California coastline. Only one tropical storm, one major hurricane, and four cyclones have seriously affected the California coast during the last 75 years.

Hurricane season always means certain things for property owners, namely taking proactive steps to be ready in the event of a hurricane. This includes common sense ideas such as making sure the property is protected as much as possible against hurricane force winds, which is usually accomplished through the use of storm shutters or plywood cut to fit windows and doors. Important items and documents should be moved to higher floors to prevent damage from flooding due to storm surge, and exterior items such as lawn furniture and trash cans should be anchored down to prevent them from becoming airborne missiles in the event of high winds.

Have your evacuation plan in place, along with a destination, and have the contact number for a water restoration and flood damage repair company to handle any damage inflicted by the storm.

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